Oscar Predictions

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Hell yeah kids, it’s time for my predictions. My life has changed a decent amount over the past year, and those changes include increased stress and less time to watch movies. So it’s admission time: I haven’t seen all the nominees. I’m doing my best. 

So now I’m going to abandon all the fluffy bullshit and get to the point. You’re here to read predictions, I’m here to provide them.

BEST PICTURE, right? That’s what you’re here for. I’ve only gotten this wrong twice since 2007 so you can be sure I will be right again hell yeah I’m the best. I haven’t seen The Post yet.
Who will win: Shape of Water
Who could win: Dunkirk, Lady Bird
If I voted: Shape of Water
If Nominations were Infinite: The Florida Project, Logan, The Killing of a Sacred Deer, Mudbound

BEST ACTOR
I didn’t see Roman J. Israel, Esq.
Who will win: Gary Oldman
Who could win: Any of them except maybe Denzel (based on what I’ve heard)
If I voted: This one’s tough. Of the 4 I saw, they were all great. I’m salty Doug Jones wasn’t nominated for Shape of Water. I’d say probably Daniel Day-Lewis, honestly.
If Nominations were Infinite: Doug Jones (Shape of Water), Hugh Jackman (Logan), Harry Dean Stanton (Lucky), Robert Pattinson (Good Time), James McAvoy (Split)

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BEST ACTRESS
I didn’t see The Post
Who will win: Frances McDormand
Who could win: Saoirse Ronan
If I voted: Sally Hawkins or Margot Robbie
If Nominations were Infinite: Vicky Krieps (Phantom Thread), Brooklynn Prince (The Florida Project), Garance Marillier (Raw), Carla Gugino (Gerald’s Game), Aubrey Plaza (Ingrid Goes West), Carey Mulligan (Mudbound)

SUPPORTING ACTOR
I didn’t see All the Money in the World
Who will win: Sam Rockwell
Who could win: Willem Dafoe
If I voted: Willem Dafoe or Richard Jenkins
If Nominations were Infinite: Patrick Stewart (Logan), Paul Walter Hauser (I, Tonya), Barry Keoghan (The Killing of a Sacred Deer), Bill Skarsgård (It), Armie Hammer (Call Me By Your Name), Kelvin Harrison Jr. (It Comes at Night)

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SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Who will win: Laurie Metcalf
Who could win: Allison Janney
If I voted: Laurie Metcalf or Mary J. Blige
If Nominations were Infinite: Dafne Keen (Logan), Nicole Kidman (The Killing of a Sacred Deer), Bria Vinaite (Florida Project), Allison Williams (Get Out), Catherine Keener (Get Out), Holly Hunter (The Big Sick), Ella Rumpf (Raw)

BEST ANIMATED
Wow, ok, I ONLY saw Coco and The Boss Baby.
Who will win: Coco
Who could win: lol, guys, come on, Coco
If I voted: Of the 2 I’ve seen, obviously The Boss Baby. COOKIES ARE FOR CLOSERS!!!!!!!
If Nominations were Infinite: Captain Underpants, LEGO Batman

CINEMATOGRAPHY
Who will in: Shape of Water
Who could win: Blade Runner, Dunkirk
If I voted: Shape of Water or Mudbound
If Nominations were Infinite: I, Tonya, Good Time, The Florida Project, It, Baby Driver, John Wick: Chapter 2

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COSTUME DESIGN
Who will win: Shape of Water
Who could win: Phantom Thread, Beauty and the Beast
If I voted: Shape of Water
If Nominations were Infinite: The Bad Batch, It, Thor: Ragnarok. Guardians of the Galaxy vol. 2, Free Fire, Blade Runner 2049

DIRECTOR
Who will win: Guillermo del Toro
Who could win: Christopher Nolan
If I voted: Guillermo del Toro
If Nominations were infinite: James Mangold (Logan), Craig Gillespie (I, Tonya), Yorgos Lanthimos (Killing of a Sacred Deer), Safdies (Good Time), Sean Baker (The Florida Project), Edgar Wright (Baby Driver), Mike Flanagan (Gerald’s Game)

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DOCUMENTARY
Who will win: Faces Places
Who could win: Any of them
If I voted: Icarus
If Nominations were infinite: Jim & Andy, The Death & Life of Marsha P. Jonhson, 78/52

DOCUMENTARY SHORT
THIS IS A BLIND GUESS
Who will win: Edith+Eddie
Who could win: Any of them idk

EDITING
Who will win: Fuck it, Baby Driver
Who could win: Dunkirk
If I voted: Baby Driver 
If Nominations were infinite: The Killing of a Sacred Deer, Good Time, mother!, Free Fire, It Comes at Night, John Wick 2

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FOREIGN LANGUAGE
Who will win: A Fantastic Woman
Who could win: The Square
If I voted: The Square
If Nominations were infinite: Blade of the Immortal, Raw

MAKE-UP AND HAIRSTYLING
I think I will never stop being angry about this award. It is cursed.
Who will win: Darkest Hour
Who could win: Darkest Hour
If I voted: Darkest Hour
If Nominations were infinite: THE SHAPE OF WATER, It, Kuso, Disaster Artist, Thor: Ragnarok, Star Wars: The Last Jedi, Guardians of the Galaxy vol. 2

ORIGINAL SCORE
Who will win: The Shape of Water
Who could win: Phantom Thread
If I voted: The Shape of Water
If Nominations were infinite: Good Time, Kuso, It

ORIGINAL SONG
Who will win: “Remember Me” from Coco
Who could win: “Mystery of Love” from Call me By Your Name
If I voted: “Mighty River” from Mudbound

THE SHAPE OF WATER

PRODUCTION DESIGN
Who will win: The Shape of Water
Who could win: Blade Runner 2049
If I voted: The Shape of Water
If Nominations were infinite: Logan, Phantom Thread, Good Time, Kuso, The Bad Batch, mother!, It, Kong: Skull Island, Thor: Ragnarok, Get Out, Guardians of the Galaxy vol. 2, Kingsman: The Golden Circle, Gerald’s Game

ANIMATED SHORT
BLIND GUESS HERE
Who will win: Dear Basketball

LIVE ACTION SHORT
BLIND GUESS
Who will win: DeKalb Elementary

Sound Editing and Sound Mixing will both be Dunkirk, come on.

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VISUAL EFFECTS
Who will win: War for the Planet of the Apes
Who could win: Blade Runner 2049
If I voted: Kong: Skull Island
If Nominations were infinite: It, Thor: Ragnarok

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Who will win: Get Out
Who could win: Lady Bird, Three Billboards
If I voted: Get Out
If Nominations were infinite: Lucky, The Killing of a Sacred Deer, The Florida Project, Baby Driver, Free Fire, Raw, The Lovers, It Comes at Night, Split, Ingrid Goes West

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ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Who will win: Call Me By Your Name
Who could win: The Disaster Artist
If I voted: Logan
If Nominations were infinite: I, Tonya (I guess this is adapted IDK), It, T2 Trainspotting, 1922, Gerald’s Game

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